Crypto Deleveraging Cycle ‘Won’t Last Much Longer’

JPMorgan says metrics based on futures suggest the current cycle is already well advanced

article-image

Blockworks exclusive art by axel rangel

share

key takeaways

  • Crypto entities with strong balance sheets are stepping in to contain contagion, strategists say
  • The bank points to continued strong VC investment as a sign the shakeout will be short lived

Banking giant JPMorgan expects the current debt-related mayhem in the digital asset markets to come to an end soon. 

“Crypto entities with the stronger balance sheets are currently stepping in to help contain contagion,” a report by the firm’s strategists said. Funding from venture capitalists has also endured the turmoil and continued at a healthy pace in May and June, according to the report.

Entities that had higher leverage were ultimately the most vulnerable in the bear market, the strategists wrote. This included bitcoin miners who had “borrowed to expand operations using their bitcoin as collateral,” hedge funds that used “futures to lever their positions,” and retail investors who borrowed “via margin accounts to invest into various cryptocurrencies.”

Among the deep-pocketed crypto firms stepping in to stem the damage is cryptocurrency exchange FTX, which is pulling together a deal to buy beleaguered digital assets lender BlockFi, according to reports in Blockworks and other publications.

Venture capital firms also seem to be pressing ahead with crypto investments. ​​Andreessen Horowitz broke records last month when it raised a $4.5 billion fund dedicated to crypto, and OP Crypto has reportedly just raised $100 million for early-stage crypto investments. 

Although it is difficult to assess how much more deleveraging needs to still happen, strategists from JPMorgan said, “indicators like our Net Leverage metric based on CME futures suggest that this deleveraging is already well advanced.”


Get the news in your inbox. Explore Blockworks newsletters:

Tags

Decoding crypto and the markets. Daily, with Byron Gilliam.

Upcoming Events

Old Billingsgate

Mon - Wed, October 13 - 15, 2025

Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit (DAS) will feature conversations between the builders, allocators, and legislators who will shape the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in the US and abroad.

Industry City | Brooklyn, NY

TUES - THURS, JUNE 24 - 26, 2025

Permissionless IV serves as the definitive gathering for crypto’s technical founders, developers, and builders to come together and create the future.If you’re ready to shape the future of crypto, Permissionless IV is where it happens.

Brooklyn, NY

SUN - MON, JUN. 22 - 23, 2025

Blockworks and Cracked Labs are teaming up for the third installment of the Permissionless Hackathon, happening June 22–23, 2025 in Brooklyn, NY. This is a 36-hour IRL builder sprint where developers, designers, and creatives ship real projects solving real problems across […]

recent research

Research Report Templates (8).png

Research

Meta-aggregators like Titan and Kamino Swap improve price execution for users, making the Solana swapping landscape more competitive. Jupiter has incorporated meta-aggregation features into its latest routing engine to keep users on its front end (own the user, own the flow). At large, teams are treating swaps as a commoditized complement, offering incredibly cheap or free swaps to own the end-user and increase demand for high-margin product offerings (multi-product DeFi). On another note, the divergence in the concentration of aggregator volume between DEXs suggests increased specialization at the DEX layer by asset type.

article-image

Onboarding the world to Bitcoin takes a series of firsts

article-image

If we get an altcoin season, it’ll be focused on tokens deemed “ fundamentally valuable enough for traditional public money and capital” to get involved with

article-image

Solana dropped nearly 10% amid mass crypto liquidations triggered by rising geopolitical strife

article-image

Investors moved to safe assets like the US dollar and gold, but bonds faltered

article-image

The Amex offers up to 4% bitcoin back, but the deal is a bit ironic considering crypto’s goals

article-image

Short answer: Subnets are now cheaper to bootstrap than a Celestia rollup