Bitcoin Climbs Higher: Markets Wrap

key takeaways

Bitcoin miners are accumulating BTC at record pace
Perpetual funding rates remain neutral despite increase in exchange leverage ratio

Bitcoin was last trading near $51,500, up over 10% over the last seven days according to data from Coingecko.

Bitcoin miners are accumulating BTC at a record pace.

Some BTC metrics signal that caution is warranted at current price levels.

Perpetual funding rates are neutral, implying no bias toward the upside or downside.

Latest in Macro:

S&P 500: 4,791, +1.38%
NASDAQ: 15,871, +1.39%
Gold: $1,812, +0.15%
WTI Crude Oil: $76.01, +3.01%
10-Year Treasury: 1.477%, -0.016%

Latest in Crypto:

BTC: $51,134, -0.40%
ETH: $4,070, -0.80%
ETH/BTC: 0.0796, -0.66%
BTC.D: 40.00%, -0.22%

Bitcoin miners are confident

Bitcoin was last trading near $51,500, up over 10% over the last seven days according to data from Coingecko.

“Miner Reserves, Mean Coin Age, and the Hashrate continued trending higher as BTC price fell. This is a very bullish signal indicating older coins and miners are not aggressively distributing during the sell off. The increasing Hashrate is a sign of Miner’s confidence in the network. Even with a 39% pullback over a month, Miners continued to add hash further securing the network,” wrote @DanBTC916, an Analyst at CryptoQuant.

Noelle Acheson, head of market insights at Genesis, took to Twitter noting similar observations: “We’ve seen a flurry of announcements recently about BTC miners’ plans to increase capacity *significantly* over the coming months. An often-overlooked detail is that this is being done with bank- or market-based financing.”

Noelle continued, “Miners turning to financing vehicles for expansion means that they don’t need to sell their BTC. Indeed, miner unspent supply (new BTC held rather than sold in the market) last week reached an all-time high.”

Source: Glassnode

Signs that caution is warranted

The BTC:all exchanges estimated leverage ratio, which is the amount of open interest across all exchanges divided by their BTC reserves, is hovering near annual highs. This suggests that there could be one last flush out of leveraged players before BTC can make another run.

According to CryptoQuant analyst, Marc Deloreankt, we have two bad signals near the corner:

1st: Big leverage ratio. The biggest one in two years. So soon, we probably will have a drop, or long liquidation to clear retail investors in next days.
2nd: No big bank outflows since last drop on May ’21. This is not normal and this is another bad sign.

Source: CryptoQuant

On a positive note for the bulls, perpetual funding rates are essentially neutral which signals little bias towards the upside or downside on BTC.

Source: @eliasimos

Google search interest for Bitcoin

Jameson Lopp, co-founder and CTO at Casa Hodl, wrote, “Countries with the highest relative search interest for Bitcoin have changed significantly from 2020 to 2021! While it’s no surprise to see El Salvador at #1, it’s notable that it wasn’t even on the list of 66 countries for which Google logged search interest in 2020. El Salvador surged from 150th to 1st place for relative Bitcoin search interest in 2021.”

Source: Google Trends